Sports7 days left
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$3.2K
108 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
22 MARKETS · $10.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1270/8Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1270/8
Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢+20¢$1131/4Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+20¢0¢
$1131/4
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1270/7Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1270/7
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
21¢−6¢$9862/11Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix−6¢21¢
$9862/11
Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1270/8Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1270/8
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1130/3Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1130/3
Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1130/5Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1130/5
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1270/7Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1270/7
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix←
35¢−2¢$3.2K4/8Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix←−2¢35¢
$3.2K4/8
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
1¢−1¢$740/3Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix−1¢1¢
$740/3
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
11¢+13¢$1.9K5/16Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+13¢11¢
$1.9K5/16
Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1250/6Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1250/6
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
13¢+37¢$4233/3Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+37¢13¢
$4233/3
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
14¢+16¢$1.1K3/7Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+16¢14¢
$1.1K3/7
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1130/3Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1130/3
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
4¢+23¢$9153/8Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+23¢4¢
$9153/8
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1130/5Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1130/5
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1250/8Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1250/8
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
4¢+7¢$3231/8Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix+7¢4¢
$3231/8
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix
0¢0¢$1130/5Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix0¢0¢
$1130/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$890+21 new NO$1.6K
$286 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 31% of the money is not a bet
$229 of $736 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $297·NO $209YES Team
Total Invested
$412
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+20.8%)
Whales
4
P
probability🥇hedged
Entry 35¢·694.5 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$243
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $243 · WR 57.7%
R
Ryxon21🥈
Entry 25¢·661 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $167 · WR 70.1%
P
peepofeet🥉
Entry 23¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
1
0x1a8ed481...
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 85.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$362
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-8.6%)
Whales
8
S
Spectrum🥇
Entry 77¢·230 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $177 · WR 61.0%
P
probability🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·165.5 shares·also $243 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $115 · WR 57.7%
T
tmfcosta🥉
Entry 68¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 67.4%
B
0xbfbdf1be...
Entry 50¢·31.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $16 · WR 79.4%
C
0xc920d7f6...
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 75.6%
3
0x36cdc949...
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 77.2%
P
Pretty-Seaplane
Entry 78¢·9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 66.6%
U
Unhealthy-Studio
Entry 65¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 69.2%
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