Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.7K
298 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 105 traders
FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $43.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $167 is directional: YES $143·NO $23YES Team
Total Invested
$184
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$167(-90.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$480
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+19.5%)
Whales
14
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·160.6 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $160 · WR 61.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 79¢·100.4 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $79 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 89¢·75 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $67 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 77¢·70 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $54 · WR 87.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 51¢·74.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $38 · WR 87.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 95¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 72.4%
P
puskin
Entry 72¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $20 · WR 91.7%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 96¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 81.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 79.2%
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