Politics21 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

18¢

18% implied

NO Price

82¢

82% implied

Volume

$2.7K

141 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 49 traders

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $10.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

3¢−3¢$2610/3

by 30% or more−3¢3¢

5¢−5¢$1.2K0/4

by 25%-30%−5¢5¢

9¢−9¢$2470/3

by 20%-25%−9¢9¢

18¢+7¢$2.7K1/3

by 15%-20%←+7¢18¢

32¢−18¢$4.7K1/6

by 10%-15%−18¢32¢

23¢−23¢$6460/2

by 5%-10%−23¢23¢

7¢−7¢$2390/3

by 0%-5%−7¢7¢

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election

6¢+14¢$5721/4

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election+14¢6¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$4

Avg Win Rate

62.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$3(-76.7%)

Whales

1

just-bettor🥇

Entry 75¢·5.3 shares

$-3INV $4 · WR 62.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$46

Avg Win Rate

82.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$9(+18.8%)

Whales

3

Entry 81¢·25.6 shares

+$0INV $21 · WR 79.6%

smallreceipt🥈

Entry 68¢·20 shares

+$3INV $14 · WR 89.0%

mustbethewater🥉

Entry 56¢·20 shares

+$5INV $11 · WR 79.6%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 497ms