Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$8.7K
226 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 92 traders
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 95¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 95¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $928·NO $129YES Team
Total Invested
$972
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$722(+74.3%)
Whales
8
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 65¢·783.2 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$233
+$233INV $510 · WR 61.2%
T
TrangNgo🥈
Entry 94¢·187.9 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $176 · WR 92.1%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥉
Entry 90¢·145.3 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $130 · WR 81.5%
K
kSj39SJLtjl
Entry 21¢·310.6 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $66 · WR 55.3%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 58¢·62 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $36 · WR 78.3%
F
fkpa
Entry 13¢·187.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $23 · WR 59.6%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 22¢·99.3 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $21 · WR 85.9%
U
Unwelcome-Plaintiff-Photograph
Entry 86¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$391
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$359(-91.7%)
Whales
8
M
mantou11🥇
Entry 61¢·210.6 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $129 · WR 56.0%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 71¢·99.3 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $70 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 47¢·145 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $68 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 70¢·78 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $55 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $31 · WR 79.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 76¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 84.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 35¢·30 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 71.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 66.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 404ms