Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$3.1K
178 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 66 traders
FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$2+1 new NO$2
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $20·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+69.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+61.3%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 44¢·70.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $31 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $27 · WR 87.8%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $20 · WR 87.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 58¢·33.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 79.6%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 71.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 86.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 88.9%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 81.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 66.5%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 86.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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