Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 45% or more?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$877
89 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 35 traders
FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $12·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-62.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$206
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$177(+85.7%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 55¢·174 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $95 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $85 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 36¢·30 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $11 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 79.6%
E
Exotic-Scholarhedged
Entry 1¢·17.6 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 59.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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