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Sports79 days left

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$32.5K
1,104 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 182 traders

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

21 MARKETS · $426.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs24 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 19 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$326+11 new NO$857
$98 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.6K is directional: YES $570·NO $3.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$874
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+1.1%)
Whales
15
R
Runner109🥇
Entry 26¢·1,028 shares
+$23INV $265 · WR 61.9%
G
Grumpy-Oven🥈
Entry 50¢·300 shares
$-66INV $150 · WR 58.3%
D
DerDonProven🥉
Entry 31¢·300 shares
$-9INV $93 · WR 56.5%
N
Novel-Failure
Entry 23¢·368.1 shares
+$50INV $83 · WR 68.9%
R
ReiToto
Entry 24¢·331 shares
+$7INV $80 · WR 63.5%
P
Porx
Entry 29¢·100 shares
$-1INV $29 · WR 65.9%
R
Ribot
Entry 31¢·38.2 shares
+$2INV $12 · WR 62.5%
Z
zhukov26
Entry 24¢·30 shares
+$4INV $7 · WR 61.7%
E
Edje25
Entry 27¢·5 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 9 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Lionel Messi finish in the top 3…