Politics13 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$2.2K
185 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 69 traders
AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $14.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$32+4 new NO$126
$45 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-57.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+20.9%)
Whales
12
L
Leading-Craft🥇
Entry 62¢·38 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $24 · WR 82.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 51¢·43.9 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $22 · WR 79.6%
H
hitunfar🥉
Entry 50¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 60.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 68¢·26 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 51¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $15 · WR 66.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 78¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 85.9%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 78.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 78¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 86.6%
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