🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
153 days left

Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$19.7K
529 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 132 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

15 MARKETS · $34.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$621+2 new NO$60
$39 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $664·NO $2.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$436(+27.8%)
Whales
6
S
Sagand🥇
Entry 50¢·1,765 shares
$-44INV $883 · WR 80.7%
J
jimmer-fredette🥈
Entry 23¢·2,567.6 shares
+$485INV $593 · WR 57.7%
L
Ldvdolan🥉
Entry 39¢·100 shares
+$3INV $39 · WR 57.5%
M
Majas
Entry 53¢·51.1 shares
$-3INV $27 · WR 67.4%
M
msklhedged
Entry 72¢·30 shares·also $15 on NO
$-7INV $22 · WR 57.7%
J
Java
Entry 30¢·16.6 shares
+$2INV $5 · WR 69.4%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 2ms (cached)
Smart money 35% YES: The Black Ball win Best Adapted…