Politics20 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$542

68 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 25 traders

Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $8.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

13¢+27¢$6632/3

by 0%-5%+27¢13¢

26¢−9¢$1.3K1/5

by 10%-15%−9¢26¢

24¢+9¢$2.0K2/4

by 15%-20%+9¢24¢

15¢+10¢$1.7K1/3

by 20%-25%+10¢15¢

4¢+21¢$3611/3

by 25%-30%+21¢4¢

4¢+21¢$3621/3

by 30% or more+21¢4¢

21¢+4¢$1.6K1/3

by 5%-10%+4¢21¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election←

3¢−3¢$5420/4

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election←−3¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $22 is directional: YES $4·NO $19

YES Team

Total Invested

$4

Avg Win Rate

79.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-9.2%)

Whales

1

Entry 3¢·113 shares

$-0INV $4 · WR 79.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$44

Avg Win Rate

72.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$24(+55.4%)

Whales

3

BetterFishProven🥇

Entry 93¢·20 shares

+$1INV $19 · WR 70.2%

Hugin-og-Munin🥈

Entry 50¢·30 shares

+$14INV $15 · WR 66.8%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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