Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$17.3K
432 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 123 traders
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 1¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $380 is directional: YES $360·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$370
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$336(-90.9%)
Whales
3
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 14¢·2,539.3 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-327
$-327INV $360 · WR 66.9%
L
lpgb🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·17 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 72.0%
E
e46m3🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·20 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+39.5%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 89¢·51.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $46 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 90¢·29 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 88.5%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 71¢·28.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 56.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 64¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $19 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 47¢·40 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $19 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 86¢·21.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $19 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 51¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 87.5%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 99¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 60.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.6%
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