Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$22.5K
307 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 107 traders
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $56.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$0+5 new NO$131
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $849 is directional: YES $11·NO $838YES Team
Total Invested
$23
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-42.7%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·76 shares·also $5.0K on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 71.9%
R
Railcool◆Proven🥈
Entry 12¢·51.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 57.9%
T
Tee1000🥉
Entry 8¢·35 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 82.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 1¢·199.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $2 · WR 77.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+67.0%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·9,134.3 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$3949
+$3949INV $5.0K · WR 71.9%
C
conherence🥈
Entry 85¢·640.8 shares
Invested
$547
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $547 · WR 58.9%
J
johnpudricion🥉
Entry 99¢·243.8 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $241 · WR 96.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 63¢·200 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $125 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 47¢·149.6 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $71 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 81¢·85 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $69 · WR 87.9%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 99¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 64.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 80¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $28 · WR 60.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 88¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 79.2%
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