Politics272 days left

Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

31¢

31% implied

NO Price

69¢

69% implied

Volume

$8.2K

325 trades

Smart Whales

of 124 traders

Baja California Governor Election Winner

21 MARKETS · $29.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

1¢−1¢$4890/9

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros−1¢1¢

$4890/9

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

1¢−1¢$4860/9

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas−1¢1¢

$4860/9

Ana Daniela García Salgado

0¢0¢$6580/9

Ana Daniela García Salgado0¢0¢

$6580/9

Armando Ayala Robles

1¢−1¢$4810/11

Armando Ayala Robles−1¢1¢

$4810/11

Daylín García Ruvalcaba

1¢−1¢$5000/9

Daylín García Ruvalcaba−1¢1¢

$5000/9

Evangelina Moreno Guerra

20¢−20¢$9970/9

Evangelina Moreno Guerra−20¢20¢

$9970/9

Fernando Castro Trenti

0¢0¢$5620/8

Fernando Castro Trenti0¢0¢

$5620/8

Gina Cruz Blackledge

0¢0¢$5090/9

Gina Cruz Blackledge0¢0¢

$5090/9

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

1¢−1¢$7800/8

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso−1¢1¢

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

0¢0¢$5380/9

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther0¢0¢

$5380/9

Héctor Osuna Jaime

0¢0¢$4840/8

Héctor Osuna Jaime0¢0¢

$4840/8

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz←

31¢−13¢$8.2K2/9

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz←−13¢31¢

$8.2K2/9

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

0¢0¢$5420/9

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe0¢0¢

$5420/9

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

1¢−1¢$6130/7

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega−1¢1¢

$6130/7

Jorge Ramos Hernández

0¢0¢$4670/8

Jorge Ramos Hernández0¢0¢

$4670/8

Juan Carlos Hank

1¢+10¢$5611/8

Juan Carlos Hank+10¢1¢

$5611/8

Julieta Ramírez Padilla

52¢−15¢$10.4K7/12

Julieta Ramírez Padilla−15¢52¢

$10.4K7/12

Karla Ruiz Macfarland

0¢0¢$5130/9

Karla Ruiz Macfarland0¢0¢

$5130/9

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

2¢−2¢$6450/11

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez−2¢2¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs12 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges

+3 new YES$54+13 new NO$369

$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $895 is directional: YES $10·NO $886

YES Team

Total Invested

$10

Avg Win Rate

76.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+24.7%)

Whales

Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥈

Entry 10¢·22.9 shares

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

67.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$117(+10.2%)

Whales

paddaa🥇

Entry 62¢·1,365.2 shares

+$114INV $848 · WR 61.5%

suhail-frenz-account187🥈

Entry 71¢·203.7 shares

$-3INV $145 · WR 85.8%

$-1INV $33 · WR 85.0%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 70¢·32.2 shares

+$0INV $23 · WR 69.3%

+$4INV $19 · WR 88.2%

$-3INV $17 · WR 89.5%

$-1INV $15 · WR 87.8%

$-0INV $14 · WR 87.4%

+$1INV $13 · WR 89.3%

plainfolder

Entry 60¢·17.2 shares

+$2INV $10 · WR 85.6%

Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 204ms