Politics270 days left
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$15.8K
504 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 129 traders · 1 on both sides
Guerrero Governor Election Winner
28 MARKETS · $50.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$3.0K+36 new NO$3.7K
$101 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 51% of the money is not a bet
$2.2K of $4.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+123.0%)
Whales
4
G
GrandeFromage🥇hedged
Entry 30¢·3,602.2 shares·also $3.1K on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$1580
+$1580INV $1.1K · WR 66.3%
O
Omar1208🥈hedged
Entry 1359¢·8.2 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$111
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $111 · WR 59.1%
W
Welcome2026🥉
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 2¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 85.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-49.0%)
Whales
15
G
GrandeFromage🥇hedged
Entry 52¢·6,055.9 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-1570
$-1570INV $3.1K · WR 66.3%
O
Omar1208🥈hedged
Entry 990¢·8.2 shares·also $111 on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $81 · WR 59.1%
M
midturn🥉
Entry 28¢·279 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $77 · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 36¢·130.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $47 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 37¢·110 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $40 · WR 89.3%
A
Antonio-1729
Entry 57¢·32 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $18 · WR 71.7%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 34¢·25 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 55.3%
7
0x75fc9e02...
Entry 36¢·21.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 81.3%
2
0x24906198...
Entry 71¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 75.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 27¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.0%
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