YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$25.1K
1,135 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 367 traders
ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
2 MARKETS · $26.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs49 NO
40%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 30 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $262 is directional: YES $190·NO $73YES Team
Total Invested
$734
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$622(-84.7%)
Whales
32
F
FrozenParasite🥇hedged
Entry 980¢·47.7 shares·also $240 on NO
Invested
$467
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-467
$-467INV $467 · WR 56.4%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 29¢·299.9 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $87 · WR 59.7%
1
1oooo9kkl🥉hedged
Entry 130¢·29.7 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 66.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 57.7%
M
MarlaSinger1999◆Proven
Entry 30¢·100 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 58.2%
3
0x36935cff...
Entry 27¢·38.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 59.3%
E
0xeafa4bde...
Entry 32¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 55.6%
3
0x34dfaf54...
Entry 29¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 57.3%
2
0x273df4ff...
Entry 25¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.8%
5
0x5d8d7570...
Entry 25¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.5%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+62.4%)
Whales
49
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥇
Entry 66¢·2,272.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$770
+$770INV $1.5K · WR 55.0%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 39¢·609.3 shares·also $467 on YES
Invested
$240
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$369
+$369INV $240 · WR 56.4%
D
doitwise🥉
Entry 46¢·304.9 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $140 · WR 59.5%
F
fillit98◆Proven
Entry 67¢·157.7 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $106 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 68¢·120 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $82 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 64¢·107.3 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $69 · WR 79.6%
1
1oooo9kklhedged
Entry 89¢·50.6 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $45 · WR 66.7%
Z
zoukmachine38
Entry 74¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $22 · WR 77.6%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 78¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $16 · WR 56.8%
T
TheElement115
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $15 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 49
Smart Whale Trades
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