🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics352 days left

Will the Democrats win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$9.2K
104 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 62 traders · 1 on both sides

Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

2 MARKETS · $17.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 38¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 38¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+8 new YES · 1 smart whale+7 new NO · 3 smart whales
$30 bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2· $1.8KNO 1· $15one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $91
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$795(+45.5%)
Whales
4
B
bernardbulletinProven🥇
Entry 26¢·6,630.2 shares
+$790INV $1.7K · WR 70.4%
I
i2dt🥈hedged
Entry 20¢·40 shares·also $15 on NO
+$7INV $8 · WR 72.9%
U
uyn0j3vtvru7🥉
Entry 45¢·16.8 shares
$-1INV $8 · WR 60.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 35¢·7 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.0%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 407ms