Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.5K
152 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 66 traders
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $27.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $30 is directional: YES $30·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-46.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$156(+93.8%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 40¢·102.4 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $41 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 66¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $26 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 82¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 84.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 72.0%
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