Politics10 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$7.0K
370 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 111 traders
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs9 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$399+17 new NO$415
$300 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $243 is directional: YES $119·NO $124YES Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$201(+163.2%)
Whales
8
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 44¢·80 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $35 · WR 74.9%
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven🥈
Entry 56¢·51 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $29 · WR 62.9%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 8¢·279 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $23 · WR 63.4%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 43¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $17 · WR 60.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 32¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 79.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 64¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 68.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $3 · WR 79.6%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 61¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 57.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$238
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$69(-29.0%)
Whales
9
M
Mithrandir.🥇
Entry 61¢·134.1 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $82 · WR 69.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $48 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $40 · WR 88.0%
M
mariacryptoss
Entry 54¢·62 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $34 · WR 64.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 88.9%
M
merod
Entry 37¢·24 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 84.1%
B
0xb0e74df9...
Entry 43¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 81.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 41¢·13 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 86.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 37¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 88.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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