90 days left

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$8.3K
423 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 97 traders

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs4 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$29+6 new NO$112
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $737 is directional: YES $8·NO $728

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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