Politics786 days left
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$4.4K
218 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 87 traders
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
11 MARKETS · $15.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs6 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $89 is directional: YES $88·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$88
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-2.2%)
Whales
7
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥇
Entry 16¢·390 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $61 · WR 67.4%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 16¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 67.7%
V
VolynMolfar🥉
Entry 17¢·29 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 64.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 21¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 8¢·11 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 66.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 79.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+3.8%)
Whales
6
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 81¢·33 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 85¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 89.0%
D
Danilopezvento
Entry 82¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 65.3%
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