18 days left

Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

35¢

35% implied

NO Price

65¢

65% implied

Volume

$6.4K

218 trades

Smart Whales

18

of 84 traders

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

9 MARKETS · $28.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

26¢+10¢$6.5K5/9

35¢−14¢$6.4K3/11

AfD←−14¢35¢

19¢+14¢$4.3K5/10

Grüne+14¢19¢

3¢+24¢$2.2K4/11

0¢+25¢$1.1K3/9

22¢−13¢$5.5K1/10

Linke−13¢22¢

0¢+36¢$7134/7

0¢+33¢$7893/6

Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections

0¢+67¢$6658/4

Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections+67¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs14 NO

22%78%

78% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%

+8 new YES$71+10 new NO$284

1 smart whale5 smart whales

YES Team

Total Invested

$158

Avg Win Rate

69.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$82(+52.0%)

Whales

4

Entry 33¢·242 shares

+$6INV $79 · WR 73.8%

Entry 21¢·357.6 shares

+$55INV $76 · WR 65.4%

mustbethewater🥉

Entry 4¢·50 shares

+$16INV $2 · WR 79.5%

Entry 4¢·15 shares

+$5INV $1 · WR 75.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$555

Avg Win Rate

84.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$33(+5.9%)

Whales

14

graynotebook19🥇

Entry 68¢·180 shares

$-5INV $122 · WR 89.6%

godblessme2026🥈

Entry 62¢·158.9 shares

+$6INV $98 · WR 88.2%

suhail-frenz-account18🥉

Entry 73¢·132.8 shares

$-10INV $97 · WR 85.8%

Entry 64¢·74.6 shares

+$1INV $48 · WR 87.9%

Entry 74¢·54.5 shares

$-4INV $40 · WR 65.1%

JustClickeverywhere

Entry 64¢·38.5 shares

+$1INV $25 · WR 79.4%

Entry 66¢·33.9 shares

$-0INV $22 · WR 79.5%

Entry 34¢·50 shares

+$16INV $17 · WR 89.6%

Entry 73¢·19.1 shares

$-1INV $14 · WR 88.3%

JustClickeverywhere

Entry 36¢·38.5 shares

+$11INV $14 · WR 79.4%

Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 327ms