Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$3.2K
160 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 54 traders
MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs
27 MARKETS · $36.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Aaron Judge hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+40¢$2.4K2/3Will Aaron Judge hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+40¢0¢
$2.4K2/3
Will Andy Pages hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3¢−3¢$1300/1Will Andy Pages hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season−3¢3¢
$1300/1
Will Ben Rice hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
86¢−36¢$3171/1Will Ben Rice hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season−36¢86¢
$3171/1
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3¢+47¢$2.3K2/2Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+47¢3¢
$2.3K2/2
Will Bryce Harper hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢0¢$6920/3Will Bryce Harper hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season0¢0¢
$6920/3
Will Byron Buxton hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+43¢$3.0K3/4Will Byron Buxton hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+43¢0¢
$3.0K3/4
Will CJ Abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+50¢$1.7K2/2Will CJ Abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+50¢0¢
$1.7K2/2
Will Christian Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢0¢$6290/2Will Christian Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season0¢0¢
$6290/2
Will Colson Montgomery hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3¢−3¢$1.2K0/4Will Colson Montgomery hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season−3¢3¢
$1.2K0/4
by Swanson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
50¢—$00/0by Swanson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season—50¢
$00/0
Will Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+29¢$4.7K2/5Will Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+29¢0¢
$4.7K2/5
Will Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
45¢+12¢$2.6K4/3Will Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+12¢45¢
$2.6K4/3
Will James Wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3¢+37¢$1.6K2/3Will James Wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+37¢3¢
$1.6K2/3
Will Jordan Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+25¢$1.3K1/3Will Jordan Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+25¢0¢
$1.3K1/3
Will Juan Soto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+25¢$6971/3Will Juan Soto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+25¢0¢
$6971/3
Will Kazuma Okamoto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
4¢−4¢$1030/1Will Kazuma Okamoto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season−4¢4¢
$1030/1
Will Ketel Marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+40¢$1.1K2/3Will Ketel Marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+40¢0¢
$1.1K2/3
Will Manny Machado hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+40¢$6722/3Will Manny Machado hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+40¢0¢
$6722/3
Will Miguel Vargas hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+33¢$1291/2Will Miguel Vargas hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+33¢0¢
$1291/2
Will Mike Trout hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+25¢$1.0K1/3Will Mike Trout hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+25¢0¢
$1.0K1/3
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
4¢−4¢$5430/1Will Munetaka Murakami hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season−4¢4¢
$5430/1
Will Nick Kurtz hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+50¢$6842/2Will Nick Kurtz hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+50¢0¢
$6842/2
Will Pete Alonso hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
37¢+23¢$2923/2Will Pete Alonso hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+23¢37¢
$2923/2
Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+50¢$2.7K1/1Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+50¢0¢
$2.7K1/1
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0¢+33¢$2.0K2/4Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season+33¢0¢
$2.0K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $226 is directional: YES $183·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$835(+73.5%)
Whales
7
C
CosmicCedar🥇
Entry 54¢·1,713.7 shares
Invested
$918
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$796
+$796INV $918 · WR 90.1%
C
ChuDebbieSharp🥈
Entry 88¢·199.4 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $176 · WR 67.8%
M
mynameismoney🥉
Entry 49¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 59.1%
M
maomao228
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 63.3%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 78¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.8%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3 · WR 67.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 86¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$214
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$181(-84.8%)
Whales
4
M
macrosteaks🥇
Entry 96¢·177.4 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $171 · WR 60.0%
S
Spectrum🥈
Entry 19¢·198 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $37 · WR 60.9%
O
oneoftheppl🥉
Entry 14¢·40 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 63.6%
J
JonnyA
Entry 5¢·3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 63.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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