Geopolitics89 days left

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$49.1K
1,193 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 254 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

32 YESvs34 NO
49%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$233+7 new NO$729
$66 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $13.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.7K·NO $6.8K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: Russia capture Mala Tokmachka…