YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$277.4K
2,546 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 416 traders
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $280.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs38 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 28 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$157+4 new NO$1.5K
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.2K is directional: YES $4.3K·NO $16.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$19.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$17.6K(-90.4%)
Whales
21
T
Trading4Fridge🥇hedged
Entry 428¢·3,348.2 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$14.3K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-14056
$-14056INV $14.3K · WR 57.5%
C
CAQZeroSeats◆Proven🥈
Entry 41¢·7,558.2 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-2428
$-2428INV $3.1K · WR 63.6%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 18¢·3,392.1 shares
Invested
$594
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-289
$-289INV $594 · WR 59.7%
K
knrad◆Proven
Entry 107¢·422 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-419
$-419INV $453 · WR 77.0%
T
theta-thunberg
Entry 20¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $200 · WR 56.5%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 19¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $193 · WR 70.3%
T
takeabreath
Entry 19¢·550 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $105 · WR 60.0%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 19¢·515.8 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $99 · WR 57.1%
H
HerlihyM92
Entry 13¢·400 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $52 · WR 55.7%
D
diadjaid
Entry 22¢·200 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $43 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+16.9%)
Whales
38
C
conotocaurius🥇
Entry 78¢·4,365.9 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$575
+$575INV $3.4K · WR 65.1%
N
nelbal8486🥈
Entry 83¢·3,180.7 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$259
+$259INV $2.6K · WR 63.5%
T
Trading4Fridge🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·3,348.2 shares·also $14.3K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$867
+$867INV $2.2K · WR 57.5%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 81¢·2,498.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$262
+$262INV $2.0K · WR 91.1%
Q
QuarterlyComeback
Entry 82¢·2,345.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$213
+$213INV $1.9K · WR 65.1%
4
4751346
Entry 84¢·2,080.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $1.7K · WR 72.9%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 205¢·515.8 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-584
$-584INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%
S
Sylvester.the.Cat
Entry 85¢·999.8 shares
Invested
$853
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $853 · WR 71.0%
F
FMANTENNA
Entry 87¢·740.6 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $648 · WR 60.3%
V
vyemfql
Entry 76¢·744.9 shares
Invested
$568
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $568 · WR 69.6%
Showing top 10 of 38
Smart Whale Trades
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