116 days left
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$5.6K
290 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 74 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
2 MARKETS · $9.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs3 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%
+1 new YES$4+1 new NO$3
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $84 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $10·NO $69YES Team
Total Invested
$135
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+21.4%)
Whales
4
N
NIKEa🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·244.6 shares·also $189 on NO
Invested
$111
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $111 · WR 73.6%
D
DREAMBIG.🥈hedged
Entry 55¢·21 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 71.9%
S
SDODNDPD🥉
Entry 92¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 73.7%
F
Fickle-Halt-Windowhedged
Entry 64¢·3.7 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$263
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-14.1%)
Whales
3
N
NIKEa🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·229.8 shares·also $111 on YES
Invested
$189
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $189 · WR 73.6%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥈hedged
Entry 30¢·233.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $71 · WR 59.0%
D
DREAMBIG.🥉hedged
Entry 13¢·21 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 71.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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