127 days left

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

8¢

8% implied

NO Price

93¢

93% implied

Volume

$670

27 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 17 traders

TIME Person of the Year 2026

22 MARKETS · $31.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

3¢−3¢$690/2

Alysa Liu−3¢3¢

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence—6¢

6¢+44¢$1001/1

Bad Bunny+44¢6¢

Benjamin Netanyahu

7¢+33¢$1882/3

Benjamin Netanyahu+33¢7¢

2¢−2¢$960/1

ChatGPT−2¢2¢

7¢+26¢$1351/2

Christina Koch+26¢7¢

6¢−6¢$1770/1

Dario Amodei−6¢6¢

14¢+30¢$1.3K4/5

Donald Trump+30¢14¢

8¢+32¢$6702/3

Elon Musk←+32¢8¢

5¢−5¢$580/2

James Talarico−5¢5¢

5¢−5¢$750/1

Jeremy Hansen−5¢5¢

5¢−5¢$430/2

Jerome Powell−5¢5¢

Marco Rubio—5¢

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

3¢+30¢$8.3K3/6

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf+30¢3¢

19¢−10¢$6.1K1/10

Pope Leo XIV−10¢19¢

4¢+36¢$2082/3

Péter Magyar+36¢4¢

Reid Wiseman—6¢

4¢+29¢$2401/2

Sam Altman+29¢4¢

5¢−5¢$1400/1

Shehbaz Sharif−5¢5¢

3¢−3¢$930/2

Taylor Swift−3¢3¢

Victor Glover—4¢

33¢−4¢$12.7K9/22

Zohran Mamdani−4¢33¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%

+3 new YES$36+1 new NO$412

1 smart whale0 smart whales

YES Team14 traders

Total Invested

$33

Avg Win Rate

74.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$3(-7.7%)

Whales

2

Entry 8¢·400 shares

$-2INV $32 · WR 75.0%

Entry 16¢·6.7 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 63.4%

NO Team14 traders

Total Invested

$135

Avg Win Rate

68.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+1.3%)

Whales

3

SusanWarrenHR🥇

Entry 92¢·100 shares

+$1INV $92 · WR 67.4%

VolynMolfar🥈

Entry 93¢·28.4 shares

$-0INV $26 · WR 66.0%

Entry 85¢·20 shares

+$2INV $17 · WR 76.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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