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48 days left

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$19.1K
459 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 124 traders

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

10 MARKETS · $54.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 10¢
YES 63%NO 38%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 10¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 46h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $202 is directional: YES $92·NO $110
YES Team
Total Invested
$151
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$96(-63.5%)
Whales
5
R
RememberAmalekProven🥇
Entry 25¢·237.6 shares
$-36INV $59 · WR 65.5%
T
tinman2🥈
Entry 29¢·190.8 shares
$-37INV $55 · WR 64.8%
G
groppone🥉
Entry 25¢·100 shares
$-15INV $25 · WR 63.6%
K
Konfucious
Entry 27¢·40.2 shares
$-7INV $11 · WR 64.0%
V
Violet-Shortwave-Supplier
Entry 30¢·3.4 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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