Politics22 days left
Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.4K
249 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 78 traders
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
12 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs18 NO
95%
95% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $0·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-95.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$727
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$334(+46.0%)
Whales
18
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 70¢·195 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $137 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 74¢·120 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $88 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 69¢·120.2 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $83 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 60¢·135 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $81 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 75¢·80 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $60 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·42 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $42 · WR 85.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 78¢·48 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $37 · WR 59.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·68 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $34 · WR 56.6%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 87.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·60.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 89.0%
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