Politics3 days left
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$6.5K
273 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 121 traders
New Zealand Election: Turnout
6 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election
0¢+33¢$1.3K2/4Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election+33¢0¢
$1.3K2/4
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election←
12¢+21¢$6.5K4/8Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election←+21¢12¢
$6.5K4/8
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election
46¢−19¢$11.1K3/8Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election−19¢46¢
$11.1K3/8
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election
41¢−23¢$7.1K2/9Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election−23¢41¢
$7.1K2/9
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$453+20 new NO$788
$263 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $106 is directional: YES $86·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$260
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$122(-46.8%)
Whales
6
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER🥇hedged
Entry 18¢·987.1 shares·also $612 on NO
Invested
$174
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $174 · WR 64.7%
O
Offbeat-Injoke🥈
Entry 50¢·150 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $75 · WR 83.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 49¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 66.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 16¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 87.6%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven
Entry 4¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 71.1%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 17¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$699
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$346(+49.5%)
Whales
14
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·987 shares·also $174 on YES
Invested
$612
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$262
+$262INV $612 · WR 64.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 69¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $28 · WR 79.7%
S
Spherical-Fringe◆Proven🥉
Entry 73¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 65.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·16 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 72.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 74¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 69¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 86.1%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 87¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 60.3%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 83¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 60.1%
Z
zua
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 69¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 68.1%
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