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Politics2 days left

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$120.1K
2,977 trades
Smart Whales
106
of 453 traders · 1 on both sides

Ceará Governor Election Winner

8 MARKETS · $350.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

28 YESvs79 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges
+30 new YES$4.4K+41 new NO$2.9K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $27.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $23.0K·NO $4.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$23.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+8.2%)
Whales
28
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 70¢·15,400.8 shares
$-486INV $10.8K · WR 77.4%
6
65765757🥈
Entry 61¢·15,574.9 shares
+$909INV $9.5K · WR 79.1%
R
Ryxon21🥉
Entry 45¢·5,408.4 shares
+$1210INV $2.4K · WR 69.5%
J
jimpapp
Entry 69¢·73.5 shares
$-1INV $51 · WR 66.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 65¢·61.2 shares
+$1INV $40 · WR 68.6%
H
HibernatingParasite
Entry 10¢·409.4 shares
+$235INV $39 · WR 55.2%
P
phantombonsai
Entry 63¢·61.5 shares
+$2INV $39 · WR 66.4%
F
frenchflair2
Entry 66¢·56.3 shares
+$1INV $37 · WR 64.3%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 50¢·30 shares
+$5INV $15 · WR 81.2%
R
rizaSZN
Entry 34¢·30 shares
+$10INV $10 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 28

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará…