Politics33 days left

Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$76.8K

719 trades

Smart Whales

36

of 209 traders

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

4 MARKETS · $159.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election

0¢+10¢$23.0K3/28

Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election+10¢0¢

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election

2¢+7¢$48.8K4/39

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election+7¢2¢

Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election←

0¢0¢$76.8K0/36

Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election←0¢0¢

Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election

0¢+18¢$10.7K6/27

Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election+18¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs36 NO

100%

100% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

0.0%

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$7.4K

Avg Win Rate

76.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$6.3K(+86.2%)

Whales

36

Entry 89¢·1,369.4 shares

+$148INV $1.2K · WR 87.9%

Entry 90¢·1,279.4 shares

+$131INV $1.1K · WR 64.3%

Entry 88¢·1,268.5 shares

+$146INV $1.1K · WR 59.5%

Entry 94¢·683.3 shares

+$37INV $645 · WR 85.0%

Entry 90¢·629.5 shares

+$65INV $564 · WR 71.7%

Entry 90¢·498.3 shares

+$51INV $447 · WR 79.5%

Entry 93¢·443.6 shares

+$29INV $414 · WR 85.7%

Entry 94¢·274.2 shares

+$15INV $259 · WR 86.7%

Entry 88¢·290 shares

+$36INV $254 · WR 89.6%

Entry 95¢·224 shares

+$11INV $213 · WR 79.5%

Showing top 10 of 36

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 132ms

Smart money 6% YES: Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo…