200 days left

Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

92¢

92% implied

NO Price

8¢

8% implied

Volume

$5.6K

244 trades

Smart Whales

13

of 74 traders

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

6 MARKETS · $25.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

99¢−63¢$1.4K4/7

$170−63¢99¢

95¢−42¢$6.4K8/7

$180−42¢95¢

96¢−27¢$5.9K9/4

$190−27¢96¢

92¢−38¢$5.6K7/6

$200←−38¢92¢

81¢−31¢$2.9K4/4

$210−31¢81¢

71¢−31¢$2.8K2/3

$220−31¢71¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs6 NO

54%46%

54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $270 is directional: YES $265·NO $4

YES Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

62.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$293(+26.3%)

Whales

7

Started-with-20-USDProven🥇

Entry 76¢·1,099.9 shares

+$169INV $837 · WR 59.0%

Entry 53¢·224.1 shares

+$87INV $118 · WR 77.6%

Entry 71¢·158.6 shares

+$32INV $113 · WR 74.8%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 83¢·34.7 shares

+$3INV $29 · WR 68.2%

hithitfarhedged

Entry 90¢·9.8 shares·also $1 on NO

+$0INV $9 · WR 59.7%

Entry 81¢·5 shares

+$1INV $4 · WR 62.8%

garbagecollect4

Entry 79¢·2.2 shares

+$0INV $2 · WR 68.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$30

Avg Win Rate

83.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$20(-66.0%)

Whales

6

Entry 30¢·80 shares

$-17INV $24 · WR 88.6%

Tremendous-Chaos🥈

Entry 49¢·5 shares

$-2INV $2 · WR 58.4%

KickstandBot🥉

Entry 12¢·11.7 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 66.2%

hithitfarhedged

Entry 12¢·9.8 shares·also $9 on YES

$-0INV $1 · WR 59.7%

Entry 8¢·13.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 67.4%

Entry 13¢·1.8 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 61.1%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 532ms

Smart money 54% YES: Amazon 2026 capex above $200B