Resolved
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$322.6K
1,673 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 161 traders
Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
3 MARKETS · $12.15M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats
97¢−24¢$10.32M247/90Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats−24¢97¢
$10.32M247/90
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs22 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $839 is directional: YES $799·NO $40YES Team
Total Invested
$800
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$799(-99.8%)
Whales
17
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 0¢·218,428.3 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-399
$-399INV $399 · WR 61.2%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 1¢·37,919.6 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-294
$-294INV $294 · WR 72.0%
F
forgotmydinner🥉
Entry 1¢·7,693.4 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 85.6%
1
11122
Entry 0¢·4,369.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 60.4%
S
SiliconBets
Entry 1¢·1,750.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 1¢·1,481.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 86.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 1¢·583.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 87.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 0¢·225 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.9%
C
C.PM
Entry 1¢·116.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 83.4%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 0¢·103 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$690
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$161.4K(+23392.1%)
Whales
22
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 66¢·326.1 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $214 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 68¢·188.8 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $128 · WR 86.1%
H
HOG993🥉
Entry 0¢·55,357 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$55279
+$55279INV $78 · WR 80.2%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 0¢·42,672 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$42614
+$42614INV $58 · WR 90.1%
P
poposub◆Proven
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 74.8%
S
sdhyky
Entry 0¢·11,000 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$10972
+$10972INV $28 · WR 63.2%
P
pollo07
Entry 0¢·5,915.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$5900
+$5900INV $15 · WR 83.2%
K
kaxel78
Entry 0¢·5,358.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$5346
+$5346INV $12 · WR 82.9%
K
klli27
Entry 0¢·4,565.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$4554
+$4554INV $12 · WR 83.5%
L
Likaseent
Entry 0¢·5,141.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$5130
+$5130INV $12 · WR 80.2%
Showing top 10 of 22
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