Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?

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YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$352.2K

1,395 trades

Smart Whales

36

of 127 traders · 1 on both sides

Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)

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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats

34¢+26¢$5.93M100/66

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats+26¢34¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+51¢4¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+31¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+30¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+34¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+47¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas+35¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan+18¢3¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas+45¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas←

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas←+39¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio+36¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas+48¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio+37¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢+31¢$465.3K10/21

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+31¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas+30¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas+42¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+30¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas+42¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas+39¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio+38¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio+36¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+53¢2¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+43¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+46¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+35¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa+47¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas+45¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio+30¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan+44¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas

0¢+47¢$366.2K16/18

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas+47¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas+29¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio+36¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine+48¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas+53¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio+53¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan+20¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+39¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+47¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+41¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+45¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas+52¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas+45¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas+52¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas+47¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio+53¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine+42¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas+53¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio+55¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan+43¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+50¢2¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+53¢6¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

2¢+35¢$603.1K16/27

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+35¢2¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

1¢+32¢$430.8K11/22

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

1¢+45¢$466.1K18/21

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+45¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢+35¢$372.3K14/25

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+35¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska

1¢+40¢$215.9K13/19

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska+40¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas

0¢+43¢$231.3K15/20

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas+43¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio

0¢+40¢$345.0K14/21

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan

1¢+36¢$285.0K13/22

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan+36¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas

0¢+46¢$318.7K16/19

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas+46¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas

1¢+32¢$294.5K11/22

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢+37¢$372.1K14/23

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio+37¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine

1¢+49¢$300.3K17/17

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine+49¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas

0¢+26¢$372.5K9/26

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas+26¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio

0¢+37¢$460.5K13/22

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio+37¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan

1¢+40¢$216.1K13/19

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan+40¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs22 NO

41%60%

60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges

+20 new YES$1.5K+18 new NO$26.4K

$189 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

4 smart whales5 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$36 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$1.5K

Avg Win Rate

66.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$388(+26.3%)

Whales

15

SnapElectionAvoiderProven🥇

Entry 0¢·167,520.5 shares

+$318INV $771 · WR 62.5%

cannolimaxi🥈

Entry 1¢·42,857.6 shares

+$19INV $257 · WR 79.8%

balthazar🥉hedged

Entry 1¢·22,405.6 shares·also $18 on NO

$-29INV $175 · WR 72.1%

Entry 0¢·32,946.6 shares

+$95INV $119 · WR 59.7%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Entry 1¢·10,000 shares

$-13INV $78 · WR 57.4%

Entry 1¢·5,000 shares

$-7INV $39 · WR 60.6%

Entry 1¢·4,000 shares

+$6INV $20 · WR 71.2%

Entry 1¢·1,750.6 shares

$-2INV $13 · WR 75.9%

Entry 1¢·142.9 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 64.3%

Entry 1¢·98.8 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 86.2%

Showing top 10 of 15

NO Team

Total Invested

$23.9K

Avg Win Rate

86.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$150.3K(+628.3%)

Whales

22

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 95¢·14,991.2 shares

+$699INV $14.2K · WR 86.2%

VictorLudorum🥈

Entry 46¢·17,160.9 shares

+$9232INV $7.8K · WR 88.2%

poposubProven🥉

Entry 100¢·571.9 shares

$-1INV $569 · WR 74.3%

Entry 100¢·259.9 shares

$-1INV $259 · WR 88.0%

Entry 0¢·55,357 shares

+$54766INV $259 · WR 78.9%

Entry 100¢·250 shares·also $0 on YES

$-0INV $249 · WR 55.4%

Entry 1¢·39,671.9 shares

+$39215INV $218 · WR 89.5%

Entry 1¢·11,000 shares

+$10863INV $71 · WR 59.6%

Entry 1¢·5,915.1 shares

+$5848INV $31 · WR 85.5%

Entry 1¢·4,565.7 shares

+$4514INV $24 · WR 85.8%

Showing top 10 of 22

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