Geopolitics89 days left

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$126.5K

1,657 trades

Smart Whales

44

of 374 traders

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs32 NO

27%73%

73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 23 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.4K is directional: YES $181·NO $21.2K

YES Team

Total Invested

$3.0K

Avg Win Rate

87.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.7K(-90.3%)

Whales

12

qmarktea2🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·3,000 shares·also $9 on NO

$-2652INV $2.8K · WR 89.0%

deprecateduser🥈

Entry 6¢·2,000 shares

$-25INV $112 · WR 60.0%

RememberAmalekProven🥉

Entry 6¢·1,216.9 shares

$-16INV $69 · WR 64.5%

Entry 4¢·23.8 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 59.2%

Showing top 4 of 12

NO Team

Total Invested

$21.3K

Avg Win Rate

70.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$433(+2.0%)

Whales

32

DEGENKHANProven🥇

Entry 95¢·15,034.9 shares

+$110INV $14.3K · WR 66.7%

Elias.Thornwell🥈

Entry 95¢·2,340 shares

+$5INV $2.2K · WR 68.6%

Entry 95¢·1,590.5 shares

+$18INV $1.5K · WR 81.2%

Entry 94¢·1,449.8 shares

+$18INV $1.4K · WR 87.2%

Entry 96¢·637 shares

$-4INV $613 · WR 68.2%

Entry 95¢·251 shares

+$2INV $238 · WR 91.1%

Entry 95¢·142.5 shares

+$1INV $135 · WR 76.0%

Entry 95¢·125 shares

+$1INV $118 · WR 59.3%

Entry 95¢·120 shares

+$1INV $113 · WR 68.4%

Wobbly-Tonality

Entry 95¢·115.8 shares

+$1INV $110 · WR 92.3%

Showing top 10 of 32

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de…