Geopolitics60 days left

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$590.2K
9,586 trades
Smart Whales
175
of 1,375 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

81 YESvs96 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 48 YES vs 60 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$5+1 new NO$95
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $36.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $20.2K·NO $15.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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