Geopolitics89 days left
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$97.3K
2,549 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 618 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs67 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 40 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $20.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $98·NO $20.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$865
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$497(-57.4%)
Whales
49
P
Porx🥇hedged
Entry 145¢·189.6 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$274
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $274 · WR 65.9%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 17¢·1,110 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $183 · WR 61.3%
S
superhik🥉
Entry 3¢·1,557.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $50 · WR 60.2%
H
HES
Entry 9¢·343.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $33 · WR 55.6%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 9¢·292.7 shares·also $229 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $27 · WR 55.9%
S
Secondary-Procedure
Entry 14¢·102 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $14 · WR 56.0%
T
TRHUhedged
Entry 3¢·30.3 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.8%
F
0xff21a490...
Entry 12¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.6%
B
Bare-Patch-Airbag
Entry 5¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 74.7%
Showing top 9 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+9.3%)
Whales
67
K
KrackenSruster🥇
Entry 90¢·11,127.9 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$920
+$920INV $10.0K · WR 66.0%
Y
yevhenry🥈
Entry 94¢·4,678.8 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $4.4K · WR 55.0%
A
Art0888🥉
Entry 89¢·2,367.9 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $2.1K · WR 86.3%
0
007-Bond
Entry 89¢·1,603.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $1.4K · WR 89.6%
R
Reimbroq
Entry 91¢·826.1 shares
Invested
$751
Win Rate
92.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $751 · WR 92.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 93¢·270.6 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $251 · WR 68.6%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 78¢·292.7 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$229
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $229 · WR 55.9%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 95¢·204.4 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $194 · WR 67.2%
5
5atka
Entry 86¢·200 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $173 · WR 57.2%
T
tttt123
Entry 86¢·200 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $172 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 67
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