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Tech/AIResolved80 days left

Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.8K
416 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 137 traders · 1 on both sides

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

7 MARKETS · $336.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs43 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$60 of $108 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $35·NO $13
YES Team
Total Invested
$76
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-84.0%)
Whales
8
J
jennylulu2016🥇
Entry 50¢·62 shares
$-31INV $31 · WR 89.1%
T
Tender-Whey🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·60 shares·also $30 on NO
$-30INV $30 · WR 57.0%
P
PollyForge🥉
Entry 14¢·17 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 84.8%
S
Slimy-Heirloom
Entry 6¢·14.6 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.9%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 3¢·10 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 5 of 8

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 16% YES: SpaceX have less than 100 launches…