Sports103 days left

Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$2.4K

88 trades

Smart Whales

of 49 traders

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

27 MARKETS · $181.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

Alexandre Pantoja

1¢+32¢$1.6K4/8

Alexandre Pantoja+32¢1¢

Merab Dvalishvili+27¢33¢

$1.4K3/2

Umar Nurmagomedov

6¢+34¢$1.6K4/6

Umar Nurmagomedov+34¢6¢

Deiveson Figueiredo+14¢6¢

Aljamain Sterling−7¢7¢

$2160/2

Arman Tsarukyan

5¢+28¢$3.8K3/6

Arman Tsarukyan+28¢5¢

$3.8K3/6

Charles Oliveira

8¢+25¢$1181/2

Charles Oliveira+25¢8¢

Paddy Pimblett+11¢14¢

$4.2K2/6

Jack Della Maddalena

0¢+33¢$49.3K2/4

Jack Della Maddalena+33¢0¢

$49.3K2/4

Shavkat Rakhmonov

5¢+28¢$661/2

Shavkat Rakhmonov+28¢5¢

$661/2

Ian Machado Garry←

6¢+37¢$2.4K3/4

Ian Machado Garry←+37¢6¢

Dricus Du Plessis+93¢7¢

$1291/0

Nassourdine Imavov

39¢—$1190/0

Nassourdine Imavov—39¢

$1190/0

Magomed Ankalaev

5¢−5¢$1.3K0/3

Magomed Ankalaev−5¢5¢

Alexander Volkov+39¢11¢

$6721/1

Sergei Pavlovich

3¢+17¢$2201/4

Sergei Pavlovich+17¢3¢

$2201/4

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs4 NO

43%57%

57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $290 is directional: YES $21·NO $269

YES Team

Total Invested

$22

Avg Win Rate

60.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$17(-78.2%)

Whales

$-12INV $15 · WR 61.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$298

Avg Win Rate

63.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$181(+60.9%)

Whales

ooops🥇

Entry 70¢·278.5 shares

+$75INV $195 · WR 63.9%

PhilHawesLover🥈

Entry 87¢·57.6 shares

+$6INV $50 · WR 57.3%

+$100INV $28 · WR 61.2%

+$0INV $24 · WR 69.8%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 426ms