Resolved

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$507.7K
3,784 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 678 traders · 7 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

57 YESvs65 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 40 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$323 of $11.2K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $4.1K·NO $6.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date…