LoLLCS · Playoffs · BO5View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Shopify Rebellion

Shopify Rebellion3-2Sentinels

LCS · Playoffs· Sep 18, 2026 · 20:0023:57 UTC· 3h 57m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.1M
Trades
20,513
Significant
143 ≥ $1,561
Low · high
99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Shopify Rebellion · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · SentinelsG1G2 · SentinelsG2G3 · Shopify Rebelli…G3G4 · Shopify Rebelli…G4G5 · Shopify Rebelli…G51¢ lowmarket priced as decided · at 21:21$31.6K NO · Substantial-Service$23.0K YES · Lakersfan111$15.0K YES · BrotherObama$13.0K YES · 0x076d…8d4c$8.7K NO · suntori$8.4K NO · donaldbushSMART3%9% Shopify Rebel…20:0023:57 resolved
smart consensus 3% → 9% YES
G1Sentinels28¢ 13¢$155.1K
G2Sentinels13¢ $375.9K
G3Shopify Rebellion 13¢$262.8K
G4Shopify Rebellion13¢ 36¢$288.3K
G5Shopify Rebellion36¢ 99.9¢
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first9
WALL EATEN99¢ · $18.8K bid wall gone in 1s$12.8K eaten · $5.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:467j6yjwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Yawning-Chicken $5.4K· 3648393489047 $4.4K· vtcchampion52 $1.1K· +8 more· 23 fills
WALL EATEN36¢ · $18.2K ask wall gone instantly$24.7K eatenseries
Maker revealed by fills:Substantial-Servicesmart+3 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $24.7K· 4 fills
WALL EATEN36¢ · $18.2K ask wall gone in 38s$30.0K eaten · $4.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Substantial-Servicesmart+9 more on the same level· 80% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $27.0K· Harmless-Fatigues $1.9K· sportteryqq $619· +2 more· 21 fills
WALL EATEN36¢ · $16.7K ask wall gone instantly$13.7K eaten · $2.6K pulledmap 4
Maker revealed by fills:vtcchampion52whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $13.7K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN29¢ · $16.1K ask wall gone instantly$15.5K eaten · $3.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:jizzbucket57+9 more on the same level· 79% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x076d…8d4c $15.5K· 10 fills
WALL EATEN70¢ · $13.2K ask wall gone in 61s$5.8K eaten · $7.5K pulledmap 3
Maker revealed by fills:verifly+9 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Substantial-Service $3.8K· JustADonk $733· 0xd752…9ec6 $644· +8 more· 21 fills
Who entered before the reversalShopify Rebellion last traded ≤ 40¢ at G5 · 49:18 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L55 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$9.7K
$4.1K at 25¢· G1 · 16:55· win rate 47.9%
2mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$7.2K
$2.8K at 28¢· pre-match · 42m before· win rate 36.8%
3Anjun0x4337…8882smartwhale+$6.1K
$3.1K at 34¢· G5 · 00:31· win rate 59.1%
4pltrkr1110xf5a3…9e12retail+$2.6K
$1.0K at 28¢· pre-match · 1h 4m before· win rate 52.4%
5Awkward-Blocker0x9c3c…e8c9retail+$2.6K
$1.0K at 28¢· pre-match · 1h 4m before· win rate 51.6%
6alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$2.4K
$779 at 25¢· G3 · 43:37· win rate 44.7%
7calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$1.7K
$2.5K at 25¢· G2 · 17:05· win rate 54.7%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail+$1.7K
$8.9K at 32¢· pre-match · 21h 1m before· win rate 50.2%
9czy19990x1311…d450retail+$1.5K
$832 at 35¢· G5 · 14:10· win rate 46.0%
10poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$1.5K
$1.0K at 25¢· G3 · 09:11· win rate 47.8%
Reversal = last time Shopify Rebellion traded ≤ 40¢ (G5 · 49:18). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 325 wallets
Top winners
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$9.7K
mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$7.2K
Anjun0x4337…8882smartwhale+$6.1K
pltrkr1110xf5a3…9e12retail+$2.6K
Awkward-Blocker0x9c3c…e8c9retail+$2.6K
Top losers
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329esmart−$13.3K
jizzbucket570xc49f…9e05retail−$12.2K
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7smart−$5.7K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$4.3K
Kakimaki000xebb4…1374retail−$3.7K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Future-Tarot-Trader, vtcchampion52, dwedwd, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution202 wallets
9%YES Shopify Rebellion · the winner· from 3% at match start
YES capital
$402.1K
NO capital
$563.3K
Hedged
$197.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 143 TRADES ≥ $1,561 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$31.6K
NO64¢series23:14:23smartwhale
win rate 55.0%lifetime +$6.61M
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$23.9K
NO64¢series23:14:16smartwhale
win rate 55.0%lifetime +$6.61M
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70$23.6K
NO90¢map 221:11:10smartwhale
win rate 87.7%lifetime +$569.7K
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$23.0K
YES36¢series23:14:23whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime $89.0K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$18.9K
NO63¢map 422:31:16smartwhale
win rate 55.0%lifetime +$6.61M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$17.5K
YES36¢map 220:55:28whale
win rate 47.1%lifetime +$80.8K
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$15.0K
YES36¢series23:14:16whale
win rate 40.2%lifetime +$1.55M
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$13.7K
sell NO64¢map 422:29:01whale
win rate 54.8%lifetime +$1.07M
More from this tournamentLCS 2026 Summer Split
Match markets67 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs100¢ / $1.0Mclosedmap 1LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner / 100¢$324.6Kclosedmap 2LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner / 100¢$719.6Kclosedmap 3LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner100¢ / $525.2Kclosedmap 4LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner100¢ / $592.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 3.5100¢ / $7.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 4.5100¢ / $8.6Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) / 100¢$39.2Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) / 100¢$0closedseries handicapGame Handicap: SEN (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) / 100¢$37.5Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: SR (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$25closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$434closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $30closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $35closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $1.3Kclosedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$3.2Kclosedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$255closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? / 100¢$215closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? / 100¢$18closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?100¢ / $30closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?100¢ / $1.2Kclosedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?100¢ / $1.1Kclosedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? / 100¢$30closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4? / 100¢$30closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? / 100¢$10closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? / 100¢$10closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? / 100¢$10closedmap odd even 4Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?100¢ / $10closedmap odd even 5Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? / 100¢$30closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / $10closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 3First Blood in Game 3?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?100¢ / $10closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / $10closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?100¢ / $15closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 4First Blood in Game 4?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? / 100¢$10closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / $10closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?10¢ / 91¢$10closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?10¢ / 91¢$10closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill? / 100¢$10closed