LoLWorlds · Group Stage · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · LYON

LYON1-0Karmine Corp

Worlds · Group Stage· Oct 24, 2026 · 20:05–20:51 UTC· 46m 46s· VOD on twitch
Volume
$4.1M
Trades
13,178
Significant
125 ≥ $2,994
Low · high
10¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = LYON · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · LYONG110¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:50$75.3K NO · Mooseborzoiii$34.5K YES · yabanci$30.7K YES · ferrariChampions2026$21.0K YES · THEHIGHLIFE$20.0K NO · 254321758$17.8K NO · zb8SMART62%83% LYON20:0520:51 resolved
smart consensus leaned LY from 20:03 at 45¢ · 62% → 83%
G1LYON44¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first31
WALL EATEN99¢ · $65.4K bid wall gone instantly$38.4K eaten · $26.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:cryingbabydicer87+6 more on the same level· 51% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· yyyrl $13.5K· seeeeeeb $12.0K· 0xb99a…ef6f $5.0K· +3 more· 13 fills
WALL EATEN40¢ · $61.0K bid wall gone in 40s$46.7K eaten · $4.7K pulled · $9.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x285f…495fwhale+22 more on the same level· 74% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $45.5K· captain-teemo $667· +10 more· 41 fills
WALL EATEN42¢ · $57.4K bid wall gone in 18s$43.1K eaten · $14.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:THEHIGHLIFEsmart+8 more on the same level· 49% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $29.6K· Dearest-Urge $9.5K· Gengfrauds $1.9K· +15 more· 32 fills
WALL EATEN40¢ · $43.4K bid wall gone in 1s$22.8K eaten · $16.8K pulled · $3.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x0834…0980+18 more on the same level· 20% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $22.8K· +1 more· 23 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $36.5K ask wall gone in 12s$19.8K eaten · $16.7K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x57a8…ebc2· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Harmless-Fatigues $7.9K· qidao001 $3.6K· 0xcf0c…f2bb $1.7K· +46 more· 152 fills
WALL EATEN41¢ · $35.4K bid wall gone in 23s$19.9K eaten · $15.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:brettfavre444+11 more on the same level· 59% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $19.8K· +2 more· 14 fills
Who entered before the reversalLYON last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 33:08 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L112 wallets
1Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$60.0K
$40.0K at 40¢· G1 · 05:38· win rate 54.3%
2yabanci0x285f…495fsmartwhale+$51.8K
$34.5K at 40¢· G1 · 05:30· win rate 60.6%
3Autob10x52ca…2f11retail+$22.6K
$18.2K at 37¢· G1 · 07:17· win rate 52.8%
4alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$14.2K
$4.3K at 23¢· G1 · 11:27· win rate 46.3%
5Anon4550x4961…de13smart+$12.6K
$47.1K at 43¢· G1 · 04:47· win rate 56.2%
6callmenuts0xfa88…85a5retail+$11.8K
$8.2K at 41¢· G1 · 04:47· win rate 46.9%
7Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$10.6K
$84.6K at 54¢· G1 · 06:14· win rate 62.5%
8origato0x0834…0980retail+$9.8K
$6.6K at 40¢· G1 · 04:47· win rate 36.4%
9ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail+$6.0K
$4.0K at 40¢· G1 · 04:46· win rate 48.6%
10lzh10x282f…7c4eretail+$6.0K
$3.8K at 39¢· G1 · 20:14· win rate 43.2%
Reversal = last time LYON traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 33:08). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 567 wallets
Top winners
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$60.0K
THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5smartwhale+$57.5K
yabanci0x285f…495fsmartwhale+$51.8K
Autob10x52ca…2f11retail+$22.6K
alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$14.2K
Top losers
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffdwhale−$22.0K
GAMBLINGISCANCER690x9c56…78d1retail−$10.5K
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1retail−$3.7K
pnhct0x9f63…9551retail−$3.5K
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail−$3.0K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Mooseborzoiii, 38791873984189, geiyecapixie, 254321758 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution279 wallets
83%YES LYON · the winner· from 62% at match start
YES capital
$1.78M
NO capital
$2.12M
Hedged
$431.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 125 TRADES ≥ $2,994 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$75.3K
NO60¢series20:13:24whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$60.0K
NO60¢series20:14:15whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$51.9K
NO60¢series20:14:07whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$46.9K
NO59¢series20:13:11whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$39.8K
NO58¢series20:12:33whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$39.3K
NO57¢series20:12:15whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$37.8K
NO59¢series20:14:07whale
win rate 43.5%lifetime +$1.48M
yabanci0x285f…495f$34.5K
YES40¢series20:14:07smartwhale
win rate 60.6%lifetime +$302.2K
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