Dota 2PGL · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

LGD Gaming1-2Natus Vincere

PGL · Playoffs· Sep 27, 2026 · 08:00–11:46 UTC· 3h 46m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.4M
Trades
16,008
Significant
103 ≥ $2,000
Low · high
0.1¢ → 50¢
Price path · full matchYES = LGD Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · LGD GamingG2G3 · Natus VincereG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 11:27$19.8K NO · Sunshine.Smile$12.4K NO · Dearest-Urge$7.8K YES · Similar-EnrollmentSMART99%80% Natus Vincere08:0011:46 resolved
smart consensus leaned NAVI from 08:00 at 63¢ · 99% → 80%
G1Natus Vincere37¢ → 18¢$492.0K
G2LGD Gaming18¢ → 43¢$513.3K
G3Natus Vincere43¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first15
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $23.8K bid wall gone in 2s$13.8K eaten · $5.0K pulled · $5.1K still theretotal
Maker revealed by fills:cryingbabydicer87smart+4 more on the same level· 57% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· motherofgod $12.6K· 0x11ea…1676 $999· +1 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN40¢ · $22.9K ask wall gone in 20s$14.4K eaten · $2.8K pulled · $5.7K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:sofa88888+5 more on the same level· 46% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Skritopoolniy $4.4K· xianyulee $2.4K· RandomVibecoder $2.0K· +9 more· 19 fills
WALL EATEN39¢ · $22.3K ask wall gone in 11s$22.3K eaten · $6.3K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Sunshine.Smile $21.3K· DotaBotReborn $558· whilwhile $381· 3 fills
WALL EATEN38¢ · $21.3K bid wall gone in 35s$11.1K eaten · $7.2K pulled · $3.1K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:babonski+7 more on the same level· 40% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $7.5K· GameGambleStakes $1.2K· PGLwinstreak $632· +10 more· 24 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $20.8K bid wall gone in 5s$10.4K eaten · $10.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Similar-Enrollment· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Sunshine.Smile $8.1K· what-the-dog-doin $2.3K· +4 more· 6 fills
WALL EATEN47¢ · $20.7K ask wall gone in 33s$7.2K eaten · $7.9K pulled · $5.6K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:ARI100KRAT+8 more on the same level· 37% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $6.3K· GeorgeRe $876· +4 more· 15 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Natus Vincere buy ≥ $1K · by time59 wallets
1froglover0x6891…6bb9retail+$12
$1.4K at 72¢· pre-match · 13h 0m before· win rate 7.0%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$115
$8.9K at 71¢· pre-match · 13h 0m before· win rate 27.3%
3beeepbeep0x2316…9819retail+$612
$1.5K at 60¢· pre-match · 11h 60m before· win rate 46.3%
4dablueman0x209e…8bb4retail+$624
$1.5K at 61¢· pre-match · 10h 19m before· win rate 48.4%
5tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345retail+$1.3K
$12.2K at 61¢· pre-match · 7h 36m before· win rate 61.7%
6keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart+$7.7K
$12.1K at 61¢· pre-match · 6h 47m before· win rate 58.4%
7no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail+$1.1K
$3.0K at 61¢· pre-match · 6h 46m before· win rate 48.0%
8poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$152
$1.8K at 69¢· pre-match · 6h 46m before· win rate 47.6%
9SHLDota0x3214…cfcbsmart−$297
$3.7K at 86¢· pre-match · 5h 55m before· win rate 65.0%
10antec0x8935…7daaretail−$250
$15.3K at 68¢· pre-match · 4h 11m before· win rate 50.4%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 428 wallets
Top winners
Dota2winner0x3413…8ff2retail+$9.7K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$7.7K
keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart+$7.7K
sofa888880xa103…1c14retail+$5.2K
suzmie0x4097…9397retail+$4.4K
Top losers
THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5smart−$6.4K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart−$6.0K
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail−$5.6K
BullmartX0xcdc1…fc86retail−$2.6K
ameamezzz0xc5b0…180dretail−$2.5K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): ribalka, GameGambleStakes, whilwhile, Dearest-Urge +4
Smart consensus · at resolution275 wallets
80%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 99% at match start
YES capital
$462.7K
NO capital
$888.6K
Hedged
$301.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 103 TRADES ≥ $2,000 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$21.3K
sell NO61¢map 209:26:38smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$908.0K
gvrgb326552g650x676c…e139$21.3K
NO61¢map 209:26:38smartwhale
win rate 68.4%lifetime +$210.7K
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9$20.0K
NO62¢series06:59:18whale
win rate 42.4%lifetime −$118.1K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$19.8K
NO57¢series10:40:37smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$908.0K
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$12.4K
NO57¢series10:40:45whale
win rate 54.3%lifetime +$1.03M
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$11.4K
NO58¢map 209:21:39smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$908.0K
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$11.2K
NO62¢map 209:25:56whale
win rate 54.3%lifetime +$1.03M
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$11.0K
YES49¢map 108:15:00smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$908.0K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets33 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$1.5Mclosedmap 1Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$899.4Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$979.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$37.0Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$68.0Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$105closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?— / —$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$8closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$211closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?100¢ / 0¢$387closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$246closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closed