Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

Aurora0-2Natus Vincere

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 20, 2026 · 13:40–15:40 UTC· 2h 00m· VOD on youtube
Volume
$1.5M
Trades
6,797
Significant
95 ≥ $894
Low · high
0.1¢ → 48¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · Natus VincereG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:34$3.3K NO · qwerqr1251251$1.5K NO · Kangtanew$1.2K NO · minji$1.0K NO · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$980 NO · 0x25f9…eba6SMART9%68% Natus Vincere13:4015:40 resolved
smart consensus leaned NAVI from G1 at 70¢ · 9% → 68%
G1Natus Vincere41¢ → 23¢$401.6K
G2Natus Vincere23¢ → 0.1¢$401.9K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first4
WALL EATEN50¢ · $30.6K bid wall gone in 82s$13.3K eaten · $8.7K pulled · $8.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Zywoo123whale+7 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Straight-Recipient $4.5K· minji $2.0K· Nervous-Parallelogram $2.0K· +16 more· 29 fills
WALL EATEN39¢ · $19.7K ask wall gone in 12s$10.0K eaten · $9.7K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner+11 more on the same level· 89% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Sisyphus- $6.6K· maytopmay $1.7K· 322capital $938· +13 more· 45 fills
WALL EATEN52¢ · $11.5K bid wall gone in 6s$3.8K eaten · $5.6K pulled · $2.1K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:CORGI8whale+2 more on the same level· 95% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Ariel777 $1.6K· SHAFKAT $1.1K· TIwinner $852· +3 more· 9 fills
WALL EATEN52¢ · $10.8K bid wall gone in 21s$8.6K eaten · $2.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:FatDuckVisionsmart+2 more on the same level· 92% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $6.5K· Ariel777 $1.6K· igot50k $126· +11 more· 18 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Natus Vincere buy ≥ $1K · by time5 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail+$181
$2.3K at 62¢· pre-match · 10h 3m before· win rate 50.5%
29999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail+$3.2K
$4.5K at 58¢· pre-match · 2h 3m before· win rate 57.6%
3213721370xb877…4601retail−$161
$1.7K at 71¢· G1 · 30:01· win rate 51.1%
4Harmonious-Fog0x0659…d74dsmart+$470
$1.5K at 77¢· G2 · 17:13· win rate 56.5%
5Nervous-Parallelogram0xec98…afcdretail+$270
$1.4K at 72¢· G2 · 25:36· win rate 53.6%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 137 wallets
Top winners
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail+$3.2K
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail+$660
Harmonious-Fog0x0659…d74dsmart+$470
ethanHY0xda62…b0e8retail+$336
Nervous-Parallelogram0xec98…afcdretail+$270
Top losers
astapzippo0x66b1…340fretail−$2.5K
keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart−$1.5K
Villson0xdc40…89cfwhale−$1.4K
Juicy-Fawn0x0758…9532retail−$200
213721370xb877…4601retail−$161
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): qwerqr1251251, Birdof, aaaa298, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution48 wallets
68%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 9% at match start
YES capital
$21.7K
NO capital
$50.3K
Hedged
$6.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 95 TRADES ≥ $894 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$20.8K
sell NO61¢map 113:52:59whale
win rate 48.0%lifetime −$1.60M
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
NO57¢map 214:53:56whale
win rate 57.9%lifetime −$1.29M
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$7.4K
YES37¢map 113:52:25whale
win rate 48.0%lifetime −$1.60M
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$6.5K
YES54¢map 215:05:28whale
win rate 54.9%lifetime +$1.09M
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$6.1K
YES38¢map 113:52:44whale
win rate 48.0%lifetime −$1.60M
cat3xcat3x0x08c2…c023$6.1K
NO49¢map 215:02:13smart
win rate 55.4%lifetime +$194.6K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$6.0K
sell NO61¢map 113:52:56smart
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$531.8K
FatDuckVision0xf23c…9f81$5.5K
NO62¢map 113:51:42smartwhale
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$575.6K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets34 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$80.1Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$650.7Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$687.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$708closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$636closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Aurora 0-2 Natus Vincere · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer