CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · 100 Thieves

Voca0-2100 Thieves

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 2, 2026 · 18:30–20:16 UTC· 1h 46m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$53.1K
Trades
464
Significant
13 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 20¢
Price path · full matchYES = Voca · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢35¢G1 · 100 ThievesG1G2 · 100 ThievesG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 18:58SMART83%87% 100 Thieves18:3020:16 resolved
smart consensus leaned 100T from 18:30 at 59¢ · 83% → 87%
G1100 Thieves10¢ → 6¢$318
G2100 Thieves6¢ → 0.1¢$2.2K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN53¢ · $15.9K ask wall gone in 44s$12.9K eaten · $3.0K pulledhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:Wiretransferxyzsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· JohnLKellyJr $12.4K· gatoverde01 $222· amaya21 $176· +1 more· 4 fills
Biggest buyers of the winner100 Thieves never traded below 80¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner2 wallets
1Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$13
$187 at 94¢· G1 · 12:25· win rate 52.9%
2brchan0x8868…ec09retail+$9
$101 at 84¢· pre-match · 13m before· win rate 54.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 39 wallets
Top winners
Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$13
brchan0x8868…ec09retail+$9
Squeaky-Horizon0x0333…f234retail+$9
Absing0x2529…548aretail+$3
Donkoo0x72aa…90e0retail+$3
Top losers
HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail−$3
doador0xc846…c413retail−$1
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$1
asdfadd10x00f7…0aceretail−$1
99asdf0x8f39…6feeretail−$1
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x62e8…88a1, SimpleTony, Sadass, RN1 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution10 wallets
87%NO 100 Thieves · the winner· from 83% at match start
YES capital
$501
NO capital
$8.6K
Hedged
$96
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 13 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$14.0K
YES53¢handicap18:25:06smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$12.4K
NO47¢handicap18:25:06smart
win rate 55.2%lifetime +$663.7K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$2.7K
YES54¢handicap18:30:20smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6$915
sell YES56¢handicap18:29:38retail
win rate 50.8%lifetime −$76.8K
frankenstein750x0f0b…f901$718
YES55¢handicap18:26:44retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime +$42.4K
PrivateJetBroker0x54ee…5547$623
YES53¢handicap18:26:18smart
win rate 60.7%lifetime +$3.7K
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