CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Eternal Fire

Eternal Fire2-1BASEMENT BOYS

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 2, 2026 · 18:30–21:10 UTC· 2h 40m· VOD on youtube
Volume
$118.9K
Trades
1,656
Significant
30 ≥ $946
Low · high
51¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Eternal Fire · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · BASEMENT BOYSG1G2 · Eternal FireG2G3 · Eternal FireG351¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 21:07$2.0K YES · wizzair71$1.4K NO · Audrii$1.1K NO · RN1SMART100%86% Eternal Fire18:3021:10 resolved
smart consensus leaned EF from G1 at 70¢ · 100% → 86%
G1BASEMENT BOYS81¢ → 51¢$5.6K
G2Eternal Fire51¢ → 71¢$20.9K
G3Eternal Fire71¢ → 99.9¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerEternal Fire never traded below 49¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner11 wallets
1iii2520xed44…4f76smart−$1.7K
$2.8K at 89¢· G3 · 38:23· win rate 58.9%
2xixi121212120x10ae…df49retail+$364
$814 at 69¢· G2 · 49:10· win rate 40.0%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$55
$768 at 71¢· G1 · 17:13· win rate 33.1%
4Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$46
$454 at 71¢· G1 · 00:03· win rate 52.9%
5Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail−$98
$417 at 66¢· G1 · 17:13· win rate 46.3%
6BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$57
$415 at 74¢· G1 · 06:36· win rate 56.2%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$18
$259 at 69¢· G1 · 53:27· win rate 52.6%
836483934890470x67ac…edf1smartwhale+$73
$258 at 78¢· G3 · 20:17· win rate 65.7%
$230 at 69¢· G2 · 02:40· win rate 13.5%
10DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail+$39
$124 at 67¢· G2 · 13:14· win rate 52.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 3 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($5.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 101 wallets
Top winners
xixi121212120x10ae…df49retail+$364
36483934890470x67ac…edf1smartwhale+$73
a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$55
astapzippo0x66b1…340fretail+$48
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail+$39
Top losers
iii2520xed44…4f76smart−$1.7K
sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail−$1.4K
Digital-Patina0xb9b4…3111retail−$180
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail−$98
Cold-Palms0x689f…259cretail−$60
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, RN1, wizzair71, Noteworthy-Permafrost-Zinc +4
Smart consensus · at resolution32 wallets
86%YES Eternal Fire · the winner
YES capital
$50.6K
NO capital
$22.6K
Hedged
$24.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 30 TRADES ≥ $946 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
wizzair710x883a…73b0$2.0K
YES67¢series20:06:53smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
wizzair710x883a…73b0$1.8K
YES66¢series20:08:32smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
wizzair710x883a…73b0$1.5K
YES57¢series19:34:32smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
Audrii0xfbaf…2a03$1.4K
NO34¢series20:08:32retail
win rate 34.2%lifetime −$13.8K
wizzair710x883a…73b0$1.4K
YES57¢series19:33:36smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.3K
YES95¢map 220:01:54smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$859.4K
wizzair710x883a…73b0$1.3K
YES59¢series19:36:48smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
wizzair710x883a…73b0$1.3K
YES57¢series19:34:56smart
win rate 61.6%lifetime +$44.0K
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Eternal Fire 2-1 BASEMENT BOYS · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer