CS2ROG Journey · Group A · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Nordic Partners Gaming

Nordic Partners Gaming1-0Lilmix

ROG Journey · Group A· Oct 2, 2026 · 16:45–17:28 UTC· 43m 13s· VOD on twitch
Volume
$20.3K
Trades
362
Significant
8 ≥ $604
Low · high
49¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Nordic Partners Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · Nordic Partners…G149¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 17:24$1.8K YES · JohnLKellyJr$1.3K NO · RN1$1.1K YES · dicekingSMART100%99% Nordic Partne…16:4517:28 resolved
smart consensus leaned NPG from 16:22 at 72¢ · 100% → 99%
G1Nordic Partners Gaming63¢ → 99.5¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerNordic Partners Gaming never traded below 46¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner4 wallets
1diceking0x3db4…d69bsmart+$900
$1.1K at 55¢· G1 · 01:04· win rate 59.9%
2KENSi3220x7460…de6eretail+$920
$1.1K at 54¢· G1 · 02:41· win rate 52.8%
3wignfan0xa16b…b541smart+$552
$648 at 54¢· G1 · 02:46· win rate 57.9%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$9
$401 at 81¢· pre-match · 4h 15m before· win rate 35.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($124 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 73 wallets
Top winners
KENSi3220x7460…de6eretail+$920
diceking0x3db4…d69bsmart+$900
wignfan0xa16b…b541smart+$552
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$32
andersonadn100x947d…dff0retail+$31
Top losers
Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$50
bingbard0x7b28…ff4fsmart−$32
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$24
BIngoBard0x245e…1cebretail−$17
a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$9
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, okmuote999, RN1, JohnLKellyJr +4
Smart consensus · at resolution15 wallets
99%YES Nordic Partners Gaming · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$11.9K
NO capital
$7.0K
Hedged
$9.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 8 TRADES ≥ $604 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.8K
YES79¢series16:44:24smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.7K
YES58¢series16:48:34smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
RN10x2005…75ea$1.3K
NO42¢series16:48:34whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
diceking0x3db4…d69b$1.1K
YES55¢series16:50:12smart
win rate 60.1%lifetime +$116.8K
RN10x2005…75ea$932
NO45¢series16:50:12hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
RN10x2005…75ea$653
sell YES54¢series16:50:15hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$592
YES61¢series16:51:09smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
RN10x2005…75ea$557
NO46¢series16:50:18hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
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Nordic Partners Gaming 1-0 Lilmix · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer