100 Thieves0-1Sinners
ROG Journey · Group A · Oct 2, 2026 · 16:45–17:26 UTC · 41m 53s · VOD on twitch
Volume
$14.7K
Trades
386
Significant
2 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 75¢
Price path · full matchYES = 100 Thieves · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned Sinners from G1 at 44¢ · 67% → 72%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1Sinners71¢ → 1¢no map market
G1Sinners37m 31s · 16:49–17:2671¢ → 1¢ −70¢no Map 1 market on Polymarket
Who entered before the reversalSinners last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 03:24 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$440 at 42¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 44.3%
$294 at 37¢· pre-match · 8m before· win rate 37.8%
$264 at 39¢· pre-match · 10h 15m before· win rate 56.5%
$102 at 26¢· G1 · 00:18· win rate 43.9%
$126 at 40¢· pre-match · 55m before· win rate 54.7%
$121 at 40¢· G1 · 03:18· win rate 49.8%
$137 at 41¢· pre-match · 1h 9m before· win rate 51.8%
$638 at 54¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 58.4%
$252 at 60¢· pre-match · 10h 24m before· win rate 40.3%
Reversal = last time Sinners traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 03:24). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 171 wallets
Top winners
buen00x7069…325bretail+$614
6367630xfd14…2267retail+$509
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6csmart+$406
Irresponsible-Eicosanoid-Mattress0x5785…e5cbretail+$251
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail+$202
Top losers
RN10x2005…75earetail−$936
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$264
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$197
phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail−$183
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$143
Smart consensus · at resolution17 wallets
72%NO Sinners · the winner· from 67% at match start
YES capital
$6.0K
NO capital
$5.1K
Hedged
$1.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 2 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sinners (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A0¢ / 100¢$14.6Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed