CS2ROG Journey · Group A · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Sinners

100 Thieves0-1Sinners

ROG Journey · Group A· Oct 2, 2026 · 16:45–17:26 UTC· 41m 53s· VOD on twitch
Volume
$14.7K
Trades
386
Significant
2 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 75¢
Price path · full matchYES = 100 Thieves · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · SinnersG10¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 17:24$546 YES · RN1SMART63%72% Sinners16:4517:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned SIN from G1 at 44¢ · 67% → 72%
G1Sinners71¢ → 1¢—
Who entered before the reversalSinners last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 03:24 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L4 wallets
1300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$189
$126 at 40¢· pre-match · 55m before· win rate 56.9%
2387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$152
$137 at 41¢· pre-match · 1h 9m before· win rate 51.0%
3BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$75
$326 at 54¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 65.3%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$5
$252 at 60¢· pre-match · 10h 24m before· win rate 33.4%
Reversal = last time Sinners traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 03:24). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 84 wallets
Top winners
300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$189
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$152
ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail+$120
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$75
rocky420030x2e62…b22eretail+$70
Top losers
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$264
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$197
phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail−$183
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$143
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale−$137
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): drook, Near-Rubbish, RN1, vvolis +4
Smart consensus · at resolution17 wallets
72%NO Sinners · the winner· from 67% at match start
YES capital
$6.0K
NO capital
$5.1K
Hedged
$1.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 2 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
RN10x2005…75ea$546
YES58¢series16:47:16whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
100 Thieves 0-1 Sinners · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer