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CS2StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora Gaming

Natus Vincere0-2Aurora Gaming

StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs· Sep 17, 2026 · 15:00–16:54 UTC· 1h 54m· VOD on kick
Volume
$1.6M
Trades
6,600
Significant
119 ≥ $3,504
Low · high
0.1¢ → 67¢
Price path · full matchYES = Natus Vincere · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Aurora GamingG1G2 · Aurora GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 16:39$30.6K YES · Rusik7$18.0K YES · HMLSF$13.1K NO · CORGI8$11.6K NO · 0x076d…8d4c$10.8K NO · Mr.Ape$6.9K NO · ifplSMART33%57% Aurora Gaming15:0016:54 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from G2 at 81¢ · 33% → 57%
G1Aurora Gaming58¢ → 32¢$167.8K
G2Aurora Gaming32¢ → 0.1¢$217.0K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first6
WALL EATEN54¢ · $63.0K ask wall gone in 41s$26.4K eaten · $18.0K pulled · $18.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0xc9ae…b9e0+3 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Rusik7 $26.1K· +7 more· 11 fills
WALL EATEN31¢ · $23.1K bid wall gone in 30s$8.5K eaten · $11.1K pulled · $3.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:suzmie+7 more on the same level· 57% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x076d…8d4c $5.2K· ifpl $3.2K· +2 more· 13 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $19.1K ask wall gone in 2s$12.8K eaten · $6.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0xc9ae…b9e0+6 more on the same level· 90% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $12.8K· +1 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $18.3K ask wall gone in 11s$15.0K eaten · $3.3K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:meoooow+4 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $14.9K· +1 more· 6 fills
WALL EATEN56¢ · $17.3K ask wall gone in 28s$10.1K eaten · $7.2K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x5e76…15de+6 more on the same level· 48% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $10.1K· +1 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $16.3K bid wall gone in 46s$9.0K eaten · $7.3K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0xd2d2…75ab+4 more on the same level· 35% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x076d…8d4c $4.6K· TLking $2.7K· gt7238 $935· +10 more· 19 fills
Who entered before the reversalAurora Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 31:29 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L12 wallets
1InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64whale+$3.8K
$2.4K at 38¢· G1 · 07:28· win rate 51.6%
2iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$3.7K
$18.4K at 78¢· G1 · 01:21· win rate 59.0%
3animal.bean0x2a25…8055retail+$1.7K
$1.3K at 42¢· G1 · 00:59· win rate 80.6%
4derriver0xed31…d9c8retail+$1.1K
$813 at 41¢· G1 · 01:21· win rate 47.9%
5RN10x2005…75eawhale+$634
$15.6K at 65¢· G1 · 00:55· win rate 52.2%
6NotJump0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$201
$2.7K at 77¢· G1 · 01:21· win rate 49.7%
7Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$197
$7.1K at 66¢· G1 · 01:23· win rate 59.4%
8Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$103
$1.9K at 65¢· G1 · 05:14· win rate 52.9%
9antec0x8935…7daaretail+$63
$1.3K at 61¢· G1 · 02:54· win rate 50.6%
10Glorious-Yak0x9307…9da3smart+$52
$579 at 62¢· G1 · 11:05· win rate 59.8%
Reversal = last time Aurora Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 31:29). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 334 wallets
Top winners
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aebwhale+$6.6K
LaurindoAlmeida0x5e76…15deretail+$6.1K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$5.5K
Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6retail+$4.4K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$4.4K
Top losers
SemyonMarmeladov0x37e4…c991retail−$15.7K
suzmie0x4097…9397retail−$5.4K
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail−$2.7K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail−$2.5K
BigbuttPretty0xa557…6e77retail−$2.3K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Ancient-Strike, aaaa298, HMLSF, DarkzaoGod +4
Smart consensus · at resolution197 wallets
57%NO Aurora Gaming · the winner· from 33% at match start
YES capital
$289.5K
NO capital
$446.9K
Hedged
$168.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 119 TRADES ≥ $3,504 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Rusik70xa6a0…4469$30.6K
YES54¢series14:54:55smart
win rate 69.4%lifetime +$165.1K
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$18.2K
YES55¢map 216:01:28whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$876.7K
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$18.0K
YES54¢series14:57:10whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$876.7K
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$17.3K
YES56¢map 215:56:53whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$876.7K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$13.1K
NO47¢series15:01:04whale
win rate 42.0%lifetime +$346.3K
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$12.5K
YES55¢series14:59:40whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$876.7K
0x076d…8d4c$11.6K
NO69¢series16:05:22hedgerwhale
win rate 49.8%lifetime +$3.55M
Mr.Ape0x26f8…3452$10.8K
sell NO69¢series16:09:39retail
win rate 57.5%lifetime −$75.5K
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Match markets22 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$835.7Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$288.6Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$450.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$7.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.1Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$22.7Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$100closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$199closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$719closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$68closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$346closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Natus Vincere 0-2 Aurora Gaming · StarLadder StarSeries · match recap | OrcaLayer