CS2StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · MOUZ

MOUZ2-1Natus Vincere

StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs· Sep 18, 2026 · 10:0012:56 UTC· 2h 56m· VOD on kick
Volume
$2.9M
Trades
10,952
Significant
146 ≥ $3,952
Low · high
28¢ 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = MOUZ · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · MOUZG2G3 · MOUZG328¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:42$53.2K YES · HMLSF$27.0K YES · Lakersfan111$21.5K YES · retordedgremlin125$10.8K YES · Mild-Barn$9.5K NO · fantasy7788$8.8K YES · MaoZeDonKSMART43%45% MOUZ10:0012:56 resolved
smart consensus 43% → 45% YES
G1Natus Vincere67¢ 40¢$168.8K
G2MOUZ40¢ 63¢$285.2K
G3MOUZ63¢ 99.9¢
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first15
WALL EATEN63¢ · $61.3K ask wall gone in 1s$33.3K eaten · $28.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:VibeDoterhedger+19 more on the same level· 28% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $32.8K· +1 more· 23 fills
WALL EATEN41¢ · $37.5K ask wall gone in 48s$21.3K eaten · $8.5K pulled · $7.8K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Caishenbaoyouwo888smart+8 more on the same level· 42% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· RebornAthena $8.6K· vjnn $8.0K· 0x076d…8d4c $2.2K· +13 more· 25 fills
WALL EATEN63¢ · $36.7K ask wall gone in 41s$13.3K eaten · $23.5K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:TAIWANNUMBERONEwhale+3 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· retordedgremlin125 $12.6K· ethanHY $565· +2 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN64¢ · $35.8K ask wall gone in 63s$15.9K eaten · $19.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:cruzNBA+23 more on the same level· 27% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $15.6K· +6 more· 35 fills
WALL EATEN63¢ · $35.0K bid wall gone in 44s$17.9K eaten · $17.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:yishiwuchenghedger+7 more on the same level· 57% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Mild-Barn $9.3K· BigbuttPretty $2.2K· zegg1 $2.0K· +20 more· 31 fills
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $27.0K ask wall gone in 2s$11.7K eaten · $9.1K pulled · $6.2K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:iii252smart+17 more on the same level· 67% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 695 $10.5K· LhordGryffin $1.1K· +1 more· 21 fills
Who entered before the reversalMOUZ last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 59:41 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L30 wallets
1VibeDoter0xe4a7…dc87retail+$20.2K
$20.2K at 40¢· G1 · 50:40· win rate 50.3%
2VitalityFan0xa7b1…8801smart+$9.8K
$9.7K at 49¢· G2 · 51:08· win rate 65.4%
3ifpl0x9368…80a3whale+$8.8K
$9.0K at 45¢· G2 · 00:51· win rate 53.3%
4natorgatorontop0x258c…7c23smart+$2.2K
$2.2K at 31¢· G2 · 49:56· win rate 66.5%
5tabelniy0x5045…914aretail+$1.9K
$1.5K at 40¢· G2 · 03:17· win rate 45.8%
6suzmie0x4097…9397retail+$1.9K
$1.4K at 40¢· G2 · 03:17· win rate 52.5%
7ce1lvc9ew660xf8b8…ef79smart+$610
$113 at 39¢· G1 · 43:08· win rate 84.5%
8derriver0xed31…d9c8retail+$533
$391 at 42¢· G2 · 14:22· win rate 48.2%
9dotagod0xb3c7…bf04retail+$510
$340 at 40¢· G1 · 50:40· win rate 54.1%
100xbb29…947aretail+$345
$2.5K at 41¢· G2 · 48:55· win rate 49.0%
Reversal = last time MOUZ traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 59:41). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 412 wallets
Top winners
0xc9ae…b9e0retail+$33.3K
VibeDoter0xe4a7…dc87retail+$20.2K
VitalityFan0xa7b1…8801smart+$9.8K
ifpl0x9368…80a3whale+$8.8K
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43whale+$3.1K
Top losers
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart−$26.4K
esports0950x4047…7293smart−$24.2K
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffdwhale−$13.3K
casualbet20200x65c1…2988smart−$12.9K
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8whale−$11.2K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, HMLSF, suntori, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution282 wallets
45%YES MOUZ · the winner· from 43% at match start
YES capital
$1.19M
NO capital
$604.8K
Hedged
$220.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 146 TRADES ≥ $3,952 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$53.2K
YES63¢series12:03:44hedgerwhale
win rate 49.8%lifetime +$1.08M
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$41.5K
sell YES62¢series09:47:45whale
win rate 49.8%lifetime +$1.08M
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$34.4K
NO60¢series10:52:34whale
win rate 49.8%lifetime +$1.08M
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$27.0K
YES64¢series12:09:58whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime $89.0K
retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fef$21.5K
YES63¢series09:50:22whale
win rate 65.3%lifetime $6.5K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$20.8K
YES63¢series09:34:44whale
win rate 42.2%lifetime +$347.7K
casualbet20200x65c1…2988$16.6K
NO64¢handicap09:57:32smart
win rate 55.9%lifetime +$397.7K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$14.8K
sell NO64¢handicap09:58:53whale
win rate 42.2%lifetime +$347.7K
Match markets31 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs100¢ / $1.8Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner / 100¢$304.4Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner100¢ / $506.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / $21.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) / 100¢$168.7Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) / 100¢$20closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / $10closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / $433closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 / 100¢$10closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 / 100¢$10closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / $10closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / $263closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 / 100¢$10closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 / 100¢$10closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / $10closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 / 100¢$1.4Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 / 100¢$10closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) / 100¢$593closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) / 100¢$12.4Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / $7.8Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) / 100¢$10closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5) / 100¢$10closed
MOUZ 2-1 Natus Vincere · StarLadder StarSeries · match recap | OrcaLayer